Even China Will Feel the Impact: Halt of Ukrainian Grain Exports Threatens Global Food Security, Says Leonid Kozachenko
For the sixth consecutive day, Ukraine has been unable to export agricultural products through its Black Sea ports.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Russia will intensify attacks on civilian vessels and port infrastructure in an attempt to disrupt the operation of Ukraine’s Black Sea grain corridor. According to him, the Ukrainian government anticipated such actions several months ago and therefore decided to restore a separate Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food to focus specifically on agricultural logistics and exports. “We understood this several months ago. They will do everything to block our grain corridor.
Restrictions on shipping in the Sea of Azov could significantly complicate grain exports from the temporarily occupied territories of southern Ukraine. According to Oleksandr Kovalenko, military and political analyst at the Information Resistance group, the Sea of Azov is gradually losing its role as a secure logistics route, creating growing risks for agricultural exports through the ports of Mariupol and Berdiansk, while strikes on Crimea are also calling into question the use of Crimean ports for exports.
Pavlo Koval, Director General of the Ukrainian Agribusiness Club (UAC), spoke on Ukrainian Radio about Europe's largest Field Days near Magdeburg, the emergence of a new technological model for European agriculture, the future transformation of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), and Ukraine's role in this process.
— You recently attended the Field Days in Germany. What made this event particularly significant?
These are the largest agricultural field demonstrations in Europe, held every two years, alternating between eastern and western Germany. This year's event took place near Magdeburg. For me, it was an opportunity to see firsthand how Europe is building a new model of agricultural production.
The European Union’s Common Agricultural Policy is entering a period of structural change. It is no longer only about farm income, market regulation or rural development. The emerging CAP is becoming part of a broader European agenda: food security, strategic autonomy, technological competitiveness, resource efficiency and economic resilience.
The war in Ukraine, the escalating conflict in the Middle East, and accelerating climate change are increasingly affecting global food security. Today's challenges demonstrate that the stability of the global food market depends not only on agricultural production but also on resilient logistics, reliable critical infrastructure, and effective international cooperation.
This was emphasized by Pavlo Koval, Director General of the Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation (UAC), commenting to GlobalWatch on the growing risks facing the global agricultural sector.
According to Koval, Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine marked a turning point for the global food supply system. The blockade of Ukraine's Black Sea ports in 2022 exposed the vulnerability of international food supply chains. The simultaneous surge in grain, energy, fertilizer, and transportation costs quickly affected markets across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia.
Defence Intelligence of Ukraine claims that Russian occupation authorities are creating conditions that could facilitate the spread of anthrax in the occupied part of Kherson region by transporting and burying infected animal carcasses.
According to DI, infected animals are being disposed of in violation of sanitary regulations. Instead of being incinerated, the carcasses are buried. Some of the burial sites are located near populated areas and highways, while others are situated less than one kilometer from residential settlements.
According to preliminary estimates by Oil World, global sunflower seed production in the 2026/27 marketing year could rise to 63.3 million tonnes, compared with 57.5 million tonnes in the previous season and an average of 56.2 million tonnes over the past five years. As a result, the market is moving closer to historic highs, driven by expansion in key producing countries.
Chinese scientists have discovered a gene in wild corn responsible for increased grain protein content, which was lost during the domestication of the crop. According to the researchers, this discovery could help reduce China’s dependence on imported feed protein components, Yicai Global reports.
Dry weather is disrupting crop planting across Asia, raising concerns about food supplies in the world's most populous region, and an expected severe El Nino weather pattern could inflict more damage.
From India's grain-producing northwestern plains to Australia's eastern wheat belt, and from Thailand's rice fields to Indonesia's vast palm oil plantations, hot weather and below-normal rains are hurting crops and forcing farmers to reduce planting, farmers, analysts and traders said.