Analytics

Global rapeseed production in 2026/27 could reach a record 100 mln tons, USDA forecasts in its report released on September 11, 2026. This is 4.4 mln tons higher than in the previous season.

Canada is expected to remain the largest producer with a crop of 22.5 mln tons. The EU is forecast to produce 20.1 mln tons of rapeseed, China 16.2 mln tons, and India 12.4 mln tons. Together, these four markets will account for more than 70% of global production.

In a food-system crisis, delayed or contradictory information can be as disruptive as a blocked route. Ukraine’s experience shows why communication must be designed as part of policy itself.

When a port closes, the disruption is visible. When a rule changes without warning, or different authorities explain it differently, the damage is harder to see. Grain may be physically able to move, yet a trader cannot price the risk, a haulier cannot confirm which procedure applies and a producer cannot decide whether to sell or store. In a crisis, information is not merely commentary on the supply chain; it is part of its operating infrastructure.

Wheat. July-Dec 2025 wheat exports will amount to 7.8 M mt (-20% y/y), it is just 47% of the 2025/26 export potential.

The pace of corn exports from Ukraine continues quickening. In February, the country shipped abroad a record corn volume for that month (3.7 MMT) and the greatest monthly volume since December 2013/14, reports UkrAgroConsult.