Rather limited number of proposals of large-scale grain lots on the market, the unstable economic situation and devaluation of the national currency rates, became the key factors influencing on price formation in the market segment of wheat in the first half of 2015/16 MY. The current article focuses on some challenges faced by the market participants, price trends, and the prospects for further developments.
According to the official customs data, in January 2016 Ukraine exported 21.8 thsd tonnes of barley, as opposed to 200.4 thsd tonnes in December 2015. The major buyer of the Ukrainian grain - Saudi Arabia - significantly decreased its purchases (15 thsd tonnes in January 2016, against 88 thsd tonnes in the previous month), as well as Libya (7 thsd tonnes, against 37 thsd tonnes).
When I started to work in development cooperation in the late 1980s, one-third of EU agricultural subsidies—about 10 billion euros annually (equivalent to about 17 billion euros today)—were spent on export subsidies. The EU Common Agricultural Policy was a central planning system with administratively fixed intervention prices for major commodities, huge stocks of cereals and milk products, and high import tariffs.
Corn, bean, and wheat prices have all taken the plunge the past couple years, but analysts and traders said they’re optimistic that futures will improve in 2016. Corn futures on the Chicago Board of Trade have dropped 19% in the past two years, soybeans are down by a third, and wheat has dropped 24%.
Russia has banned imports of soybeans and corn from the United States starting from February 15, Assistant to Head of Russia's Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) Alexey Alekseenko told Russian news agency TASS on Wednesday.
In two months, the spring sowing campaign will begin. According to preliminary information, as regards the 2016 harvest, the whole cultivated area under agricultural crops by all categories of farms is expected to reach 26.7 million hectares or 100% of the area sown in 2015”, Oleksiy Pavlenko, the Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine.
A continuing decline in crop and livestock prices will pull down U.S. farm income for the third year in a row, but this year’s decline will be a modest 2% or 3%, said a USDA forecast, far milder than the combined 31% plunge of the past two years. Large crop-support payments, estimated at $9.5 billion for ARC, PLC, and LDPs, would buffer a 4% drop in livestock receipts and a 1% fall in crop receipts.
The U.S. 2015 corn and soybean crop sizes did not increase as much as the trade expected, and the amount of those crops being stored did not build as much either, according to the USDA Tuesday.As a result, the CME Group’s corn, soybean, and wheat markets have spiked higher. At the close, the March corn futures settled 5 cents higher at $3.56 3/4. March soybean futures closed 13 1/4 cents higher at $8.74.
U.S. farmers will harvest 13.9 billion bushels of corn, the second-largest crop ever, and 3.785 billion bushels of soybeans next year, USDA said in its first projections of the new crop. The new crops would follow three years of bumper crops since the searing 2012 drought.
With the world population rising, demographers are grappling with one of the most pressing issues of the century - will there be enough food for an extra two to four billion people?