The USDA released its Quarterly Grain Stocks and Prospective Plantings reports today causing a bearish reaction from the markets. Al Kluis of Kluis Commodities sees the report as price negative. "The USDA's corn acreage estimate is surprising to the high side. It will be interesting to see what today's trade does with the USDA's lower soybean estimate and lower wheat acreage estimate," Kluis says.
In January 2016, Ukraine increased the exports of corn to the European Union by 84.8% compared with the index in the same month of 2015, declared the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine on March 26. According to the announcement, the exports of Ukrainian sunflower oil to the EU grew by 72.5%, rapeseed oil - up 6%, sugar - up 3.2%, eggs without shells - up 2.1%.
As of March 18, 19 oblasts of Ukraine started the planting campaign of early spring grains. Agrarians planted grains throughout the areas of 583.2 thsd ha, or 23% of the plan, against 295 thsd ha, or 12% year ago, declared the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine.
In January-February 2016, the production volumes of agricultural commodities in Ukraine decreased by 2.1% compared with the same period in 2015 at the expense of fall of animal husbandry commodities, announced the State Statistics Service of Ukraine on March 14.
As of March 11, fifteen oblasts of Ukraine started the planting campaign of early spring grains. Agrarians planted grains throughout the areas of 217 thsd ha, or 8% of the plan, declared the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine.
Weak grain prices are here to stay, potentially long-term, European Union officials said, as they forecast a further rise in the bloc's wheat inventories in 2016-17 despite weaker harvest prospects. Short term, "there are no fundamental reasons for [cereals] price levels to change," the European Commission said, citing large inventories.Grain stocks in the EU, the top wheat producer, and worldwide are "ample, and the moderate effect of El Niсo on markets is already incorporated in price expectations.
The planted areas under spring crops in Ukraine will increase by nearly 1.7 mln ha, which requires additional resources provision. Due to adverse weather conditions in the autumn, agrarians failed to plant winter grains throughout nearly 0.9 mln ha, and winter rapeseed throughout 237 thsd ha. In addition, the planted areas of almost 600 thsd ha did not receive sprouts at all, declared the First Deputy Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine, Yaroslav Krasnopolskiy on March 1.
Ukraine’s hard-won Association Agreement with the European Union includes a free-trade deal that should open doors into markets long-closed to Ukrainian exporters. But to take advantage of the new opportunities, Ukraine’s exporters are going to have to make changes in marketing, business culture and production.
Rather limited number of proposals of large-scale grain lots on the market, the unstable economic situation and devaluation of the national currency rates, became the key factors influencing on price formation in the market segment of wheat in the first half of 2015/16 MY. The current article focuses on some challenges faced by the market participants, price trends, and the prospects for further developments.
According to the official customs data, in January 2016 Ukraine exported 21.8 thsd tonnes of barley, as opposed to 200.4 thsd tonnes in December 2015. The major buyer of the Ukrainian grain - Saudi Arabia - significantly decreased its purchases (15 thsd tonnes in January 2016, against 88 thsd tonnes in the previous month), as well as Libya (7 thsd tonnes, against 37 thsd tonnes).