- U.S. inventories of corn, soybeans, and wheat more than doubled on average since 2013 while consumption has stagnated, says the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. “The outlook for the agricultural economy has continued to become more pessimistic,” the Fed bank says. The strong dollar stifles ag exports and the bumper crops of 2015 could mean further expansion of U.S. supplies in 2016.
High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. At Kiev’s Boryspil airport, Igor, a 28-year-old Russian returning from what he calls an “excellent” trip to the Ukrainian capital, grumbles about the overnight journey he faces home. “I don’t see why I have to fly back to Moscow via Minsk” he complains.
The U.S. 2015 corn and soybean crop sizes did not increase as much as the trade expected, and the amount of those crops being stored did not build as much either, according to the USDA Tuesday.As a result, the CME Group’s corn, soybean, and wheat markets have spiked higher. At the close, the March corn futures settled 5 cents higher at $3.56 3/4. March soybean futures closed 13 1/4 cents higher at $8.74.
Wheat saw a pick-up in price action last week, with another drop to test major supports that quickly reversed back up - then followed by a strong day that then saw prices erode back to unchanged. Plenty of action but not much direction. World wheat prices continue to erode, with prices slogging down to the summer’s lows.
Developed countries agreed to stop the subsidies immediately and developing nations must follow by the end of 2018. The WTO, which represents 162 countries, called it "the most significant outcome on agriculture" since the body's foundation in 1995. But longstanding talks on other trade barriers were left unresolved at the end of the summit in Kenya.
Beans ended a wild week of trading on a positive note as dryness issues in Brazil and follow through buying from yesterday’s reversal propelled the market higher. The center/north areas in Brazil, Mato Grosso and Goias, have seen drier than normal conditions since planting but the news wires were talking it up in a big way this week. These two states account for 42% of Brazil's soybean production.
U.S. farmers will harvest 13.9 billion bushels of corn, the second-largest crop ever, and 3.785 billion bushels of soybeans next year, USDA said in its first projections of the new crop. The new crops would follow three years of bumper crops since the searing 2012 drought.
With the world population rising, demographers are grappling with one of the most pressing issues of the century - will there be enough food for an extra two to four billion people?
Major food commodity prices fell in November, reversing about half their rise in the previous month, as the cost of internationally-traded staples, except for sugar, fell across the board.The FAO Food Price Index averaged 156.7 points in November, down 1.6 percent from its revised October average, and 18 percent below its value a year earlier.
Volume is down and volatility is up. All three wheat markets pushed into new lows last week, but Chicago was the only one that managed to get back into its range late in the week after the dollar was sharply lower. KC and Minn. bumped back into the range but couldn’t hold. After a couple of weeks with Chicago losing to KC and Minn., it appears to be reasserting it strength against those two markets.